Vanderbilt vs Kentucky 11/13/2010

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Kentucky is a heavy favorite winning 86% of simulations over Vanderbilt. Mike Hartline is averaging 256 passing yards and 2.2 TDs per simulation and Derrick Locke is projected for 88 rushing yards and a 64% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 14% of simulations where Vanderbilt wins, Larry Smith averages 1.4 TD passes vs 0.6 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.64 TDs to 0.86 interceptions. Zac Stacy averages 46 rushing yards and 0.68 rushing TDs when Vanderbilt wins and 41 yards and 0.32 TDs in losses. Kentucky has a 32% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is KY -15

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